Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 6.839696 7.531090 8.280111 9.154850 10.152138 11.258134 12.583578
2025-12-28 6.318529 7.327079 8.496036 9.963380 11.773467 13.956293 16.823226
2026-01-04 5.765951 6.918049 8.314875 10.157113 12.559401 15.638190 19.970570
2026-01-11 5.181073 6.374534 7.870845 9.919749 12.708979 16.460422 22.044421
2026-01-18 4.901149 6.171967 7.815848 10.148275 13.457930 18.125720 25.478456
2026-01-25 4.528873 5.807865 7.503567 9.978829 13.611378 18.939477 27.743635
2026-02-01 4.227875 5.510416 7.248749 9.852400 13.793320 19.789145 30.158236
2026-02-08 3.958059 5.232881 6.994827 9.695322 13.898861 20.512900 32.449276
2026-02-15 3.708685 4.965171 6.732033 9.496325 13.909286 21.069692 34.515205
2026-02-22 3.527998 4.782329 6.576696 9.442487 14.136093 21.995985 37.379040
2026-03-01 3.294731 4.508674 6.268245 9.123538 13.894157 22.084187 38.653852
2026-03-08 3.049419 4.204180 5.895401 8.674630 13.392731 21.656631 38.834588
2026-03-15 2.883133 4.014108 5.693317 8.499476 13.366032 22.124205 41.017832
2026-03-22 2.940842 4.164255 6.024272 9.225103 14.989756 25.882275 51.038258
2026-03-29 2.870091 4.111645 6.030460 9.400920 15.635742 27.837891 57.474734
2026-04-05 2.723273 3.932056 5.821079 9.185951 15.526142 28.241859 60.249442
2026-04-12 2.672293 3.900811 5.850666 9.392902 16.244025 30.475901 68.221860
2026-04-19 2.555761 3.758424 5.687476 9.239466 16.234686 31.127566 72.125565
2026-04-26 2.454649 3.636179 5.551201 9.124937 16.291525 31.933611 76.674656
2026-05-03 2.355399 3.512432 5.405696 8.982585 16.276567 32.570897 80.900856
2026-05-10 2.255957 3.384098 5.245828 8.802152 16.164500 32.962964 84.486644
2026-05-17 2.184787 3.299775 5.157963 8.753318 16.329102 34.051554 90.638549
2026-05-24 2.078546 3.152400 4.952803 8.463858 15.943090 33.713559 91.910349